Tuesday, November 8, 2016

election day poll analysis

11/8/16
NYT
As it is election day, the homepage is slathered with stories about the election. 3 stories on the homepage are about the polls:
“When Polls Close, and When We’ll Know Who Won” by Anjali Singhvi and Jugal K. Patel
More than half of electoral votes will be in by 8 p.m. and the last in-person voting will be in by 1 a.m. in Alaska.
“Early Voting Reshapes Campaign” by Jeremy W. Peters
By today, more than 43 million Americans have already voted, a new record.
“Fear Drives Polling Station Observers” by Johnathon Mahler and Michael Wines
More than 100 organizations nationwide are going “incognito” to watch out for voter intimidation and fraud.
Poll: Clinton – 45.9% and Trump: 42.8%
RCP
Electoral map and poll averages are still in the same places on the homepage
All the news stories are about the election, what may happen, etc.: first 5-
 Stanage & Easley, The Hill

 Ron Brownstein, The Atlantic

 Shelby Steele, Wall Street Journal

 Joan Vennochi, Boston Globe

 Laura Ingraham, LifeZette

RCP poll average: Clinton 46.8% and Trump: 43.6%
Electoral college map: Clinton 203 and Trump 164, toss ups: 171

ABC News
Of course, there are tons of stories about the election on the homepage, but none about the polls.
Stories include:
“You have to vite” Clinton makes final plea to supporters” by J.J. Gallagher and Liz Kreutz
“Trump Calls on Working Class to ‘Strike Back’ in Final Day of Campaigning” by Candace Smith and John Santucci
There’s also a nifty article towards the bottom of the page detailing key points during both campaigns.
There is a presidential results map that refreshes every 30 seconds and will show the results as they come in tonight.

Five Thirty Eight

Most news stories are covering the election including some of the first articles on the homepage including:
“Final Election Update: There’s a Wide Range of Outcomes, and Most of them Come Up Clinton” by Nate Silver, this basically says that Clinton has a high chance of winning.
“An Hour-by Hour Guide to Election Night” by Harry Enten, This explains the time deadliens for each state and how many votes each candidate needs for each state.
“How to Follow Today’s House Results Like a Pro” by David Wasserman. This describes how Republicans control the House of Representatives and what happens if they win and lose.
The election forecast is still in the upper right-hand corner of the homepage.

Hilary: 71.4% and Trump: 28.6% 

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