Sunday, September 25, 2016

9/25/16 poll critique

I have finally settled on four news organizations to study and they are NYT, ABC News, Real Clear Politics and Five Thirty Eight.

The New York Times is endorsing Clinton; they have endorsed the Democratic Party for the last 56 years. Their homepage was filled with stories on the election, but not necessarily about the polls. Their poll results were not on their homepage either.

“Hilary Clinton for President” by Chang W. Lee and supported by the editorial board was a very biased article.
We’re aiming instead to persuade those of you who are hesitating to vote for Mrs. Clinton — because you are reluctant to vote for a Democrat, or for another Clinton, or for a candidate who might appear, on the surface, not to offer change from an establishment that seems indifferent and a political system that seems broken.

Real Clear Politics listed their polls on their homepage. They list national polls from many different news organizations. Although, the rules behind their own polling is not clear. They also list articles from different news organizations stating different viewpoints. They are not endorsing any particular party.

ABC News’ polls are associated with the Washington Post. All of the seven sins were clearly listed under their methodology except for when the polls were taken.
http://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1178a12016Election.pdf

Their front page was focused on the presidential debates, and not the polls. They seem to be leaning democratic.

Five Thirty Eight had their poll on the homepage and one article related to the polls on the same home page. Other articles were about the presidential election, but not the polls.

Their “poll” isn’t much of a poll, it’s more of a forecasts based off of numbers of previous statistics and not current voters. 

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